What Would A Democrat Socialized Medicine Plan Cost?

Obamacare is imploding. That is no surprise to anybody who knew what the plan was intended to do. Obamacare was designed to fail. The democrat plan, however, was for failure to happen when they were in charge of the federal government.

For the sake of analysis, let’s pretend that Hillary won the election and became president, along with democrats taking back both houses of Congress. Obamacare would collapse as planned. Nothing can stop this horrendous law from failing. Hillary would go to a socialized, government bureaucrat controlled, single payer system, fulfilling the progressive democrats’ utopian dream. So, how much would it cost?

We are fortunate to have a recent example from democrats in California (Senate Bill 562) from which to answer that question.

California has an annual state budget of approximately $180B. Assuming that the politicians pushing the bill did their analysis correctly, which is a huge assumption, the recent single payer bill pushed by democrats would cost $400B/year.

According to those same politicians, Californians spend $200B/year on healthcare already, so if the government took all of that money, it would still need $220B/year to pay for the socialize medical plan, more than double their current annual budget.

California, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis is 14.1% of the total US GDP. Using California’s GDP to scale up the plan to the United States, the full cost of such a democrat plan would equal $1.418T/year.

Yes, that’s correct, $1.418T/year, which is far greater than the entire discretionary budget of the federal government. The total was discounted like the California plan assuming that every penny spend on healthcare nationally is taken and applied toward the total cost, and so is reduced from the total annual cost of $2.836T.

These are mind-blowingly large numbers that would collapse the national economy, and bankrupt the country.

Note: We are already approaching $20T in debt, and rapidly climbing. A socialized medical plan thrown on top of the current federal budget would be like throwing a drowning man an anchor.

The bottom line: Democrat healthcare plans, like the New Deal which gave us $20T in debt, bankrupts the country.

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One Promise That President Obama Did Keep

President Obama made, and broke many promises to the American People. Most notably that “If you like your plan you can keep your plan”, but there is one promise that he did keep. Obama and the Democrat Party campaigned in 2007 on the promise of fundamentally transforming America.

A recent Bureau of Labor and Statistics (BLS) paper shows measurable evidence of one tragic impact that promise is taking. Vernon Brundage produced several charts in his paper titled “Trends in unemployment and other labor market difficulties”.

Two of those charts, below, clearly show the fundamental damage being caused by Democrat policies. Both charts show US economic statistics dating back to 1994. They also both show how historic trends changed after President Obama was sworn in back in January 2009. More precisely, both charts clearly prove that part time unemployment began to grow as a percentage of U6* in early 2010. Something else also happened in early 2010.

Unemployed 15 Weeks or Longer (U1) now equals Job Losers and people who completed temporary jobs (U2). This "Fundamental Change" corresponds with the passage of Obamacare.

Unemployed 15 Weeks or Longer (U1) now equals Job Losers and people who completed temporary jobs (U2). This “Fundamental Change” corresponds with the passage of Obamacare.

The “Affordable” Care Act, a.k.a. “Obamacare” was signed into law on 23 March, 2010. Many of us argued that one of the law’s expected impacts would be to increase part time employment, as it encouraged employers to avoid the Obamacareby reducing their worker’s hours below 30 hours per week. The second chart, below, clearly proves that part time employment, light blue, did not decrease with improving unemployment rates, which violates historic trends. The fundamentals of the economy were changed, and widening part time employment is here to stay.

Components of U-6 Unemployment Measure Prove Part Time Work Is Growing As Democrat Party "Fundamental Change" Takes Root

Components of U-6 Unemployment Measure Prove Part Time Work Is Growing As Democrat Party “Fundamental Change” Takes Root

This third chart adds another dimension to the second chart. It also plots Part Time For Economic Workers, in yellow, as a % of total Unemployment. The part time component of our economy is growing as Obama care gets implemented.

% Part Time Workers (Involuntary) for Economic Reasons Greatly Increased After Obama care's Passage

% Part Time Workers (Involuntary) for Economic Reasons Greatly Increased After Obama care’s Passage

Thanks to the BLS for the proof of President Obama and Progressive Democrat’s Fundamental Transformation in action, no surprise that it’s bad for Americans and bad for America.

*U-6: Total number of people who are unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force.

Obamacare – Exploding Costs, Crashing Results

The Changing Face of Obamacare Costs, and Failing Promise of #s Insured

The Changing Face of Obamacare Costs, and Failing Promise of #s Insured

A recent weekly standard blogpointed out Obamacare’s exploding cost estimates, see blue bars in the chart, contrasted with the crashing estimate of numbers of Americans who will get insured, shown by the dropping red line. From CBO’s March 2010 estimate, Obamacare costs to taxpayers have more than doubled, to over $2 Trillion over the first decade.

Those cost estimates would surely keep climbing, but the CBO announced after its last assessment in Feb 14, that President Obama made so many unilateral changes to the law that it can no longer score the ACA’s costs. This certainly helps the Administration, since it keeps the severely troubled law out of the news, but stymies the American people, who deserve to know the truth about what their taxes are paying for.

So many problems have been reported on, but the end result, if we don’t repeal Obamacare entirely, is declining health care for all of us, along the path of the chart’s red line and the appalling treatment veterans receive through the VA. What’s the solution once we pull the plug on Obamacare, and it flat lines? Many solid solutions exist, but Dr. Ben Carson endorsed a program that looks very promising. Obamacare didn’t have any brain surgeons involved in it’s creation, but thankfully, Dr. Carson’s plan does. It consists of 5 parts, as explained here.

Latest Obama Care Bad News:

Do No Harm!

America's Obamacare Future

America’s Obamacare Future

I’ve written blogs that discuss Obamacare, and recently talked about the Republican need to change the discussion away from the ridiculous metric of how many people are signed up to one of “how many have been or will be harmed”.

Another element of this refocused message involves a very simple principle premise: “do no harm”.  No legislation should have harming a certain portion of the American population in order to “benefit” another as its founding principle.  (My previous blog showed that any “benefit” is short lived at best).  Obamacare, by its very design, is meant to harm a significant portion of the country before it ever begins to “help” anybody else.

President Obama is now telling Republicans to get over it and accept the ACA scheme, and it should be called a scheme.  The GOP must up the ante and continue the attack on Obamacare by changing the debate away from a rigged enrollment discussion to one of harm.  The law should “do no harm”.  The trade-off between harming some Americans to provide minimal short-term support to another is morally bankrupt.  In the end, this law will harm all Americans if it is not repealed.

“Do no harm” should be the rallying call of Republicans, and doing harm is precisely what Obama care is and will continue to doing until the democrats replace it with socialized medicine.

315 Million Americans Hurt Or Will Be Hurt

rp_01311102558_earnincomefromhome.jpgIn my last blog I went through a progressive’s assessment of Obama care and laid out the logic that they would use to attack the credibility of 7 million enrollees had Republicans been the ones so foolishly passed Obamacare.  In this blog want to take another angle and argue that perhaps the number should be even larger and in fact include the entire population of the United States.  The number should really be 315 million Americans hurt or who will be hurt by Obamacare.  Let’s walk down the path of how we get there.

First off are Americans who lost their insurance (some while they were receiving chemotherapy) or who will lose their insurance or have it dramatically altered as a result of the “Affordable” Care Act, or have their rates increased.  Next we have Americans who were promised by the president and Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid and the rest of the Democrats who passed this bill that if they liked their doctor they could keep their doctor.  Others will be impacted because they can no longer go to the hospital of their choice.  A much larger number will be Americans who don’t get the quality treatment that they would have received had Obama care not been passed.

I encourage you to watch this attached video of noted author Trevor Loudon speaking on the implications of government run healthcare in his country of New Zealand.  All Americans should heed his warning.  Click Here!

In many cases this quality treatment will result in, as Pres. Obama said, telling someone who otherwise could’ve been helped that it’s too expensive and they should just take a pain pill.  This is the dreaded “death panel” aspect of Obama care were government bureaucrats will decide what’s best for you, your spouse, your children, and your grandchildren.  Every American will be hurt by the loss of liberty, and freedom of choice to make their own health decisions.

If the law somehow managed to avoid hurting every American by now, we need to account for the American taxpayer.  This monstrosity of a law consumes 1/5 of the US economy and drains $200 billion per year out of our pockets.  It’s likely that the costs will be far more. Sooner, rather than later, America’s enormous debt burden roosters, amplified by this unaffordable program, will come home to roost.

Yes, the real number is 315 Million.  Stop talking about 7 Million, it’s a sham, and plays into the progressive strategy.  Change the debate and talk about those hurt or who are going to be hurt by Obamacare.  Force the discussion beyond the superficial to the real measures of failure.


– Watch out for electronic medical record theft

Obamacare A Success? Alas, Not Even Close!

medicine_and_StethoscopeThe mainstream media is abuzz with the latest Obama care enrollment numbers as the last “official” enrollment day comes to a close. The administration touts that over 6 million people have now enrolled in Obama care and as a result the program is a success and should be claimed such by everyone involved, especially Democrats running for reelection. An interesting thought occurred to me as I listened to these numbers.

If the ACA shoe were on the other foot, what would the Democrats be saying was the real result of the healthcare law? We’ve been treated to so much deception regarding the number of “jobs saved or created” by Obama’s stimulus, unemployment figures, annual deficits and the national debt for instance that democrats would surely use more creative math to counter the 6 million figure. I suspect that they would argue the following.

The number of enrollees is only a very superficial measure to grade its success. Sadly this law was doomed from the beginning and its disastrous implementation has only been kerosene thrown onto a fire.

Note: Many people actually predicted that this would happen, but none of them were democrats.

Here’s the reality of that 6 million number and what’s missing in all the discussion, Democrats would say. Nearly 6 million people lost their insurance policies immediately after Obamacare was implemented. By those figures if we were to use Democrat math we have a net zero sign-up they would argue. The cost to sign up ZERO net people is $2 trillion across 10 years, or $200 billion each year. Democrats would say that some of those people who signed up are likely illegal aliens who are not eligible to sign up. In fact the administration has actively recruited the illegal alien population to sign up in order to bolster the numbers. They should be subtracted, and dis-enrolled we would be told! They’d also say that of the 6 million enrollees at least 20% have not paid. Subtracting that number out and we have a net of 1.2 million people who’ve lost their insurance.

Now here’s where the Democrats would focus the fight. They’d say “All of the experts report that there’s an eventual 100 million people who have yet to be impacted by this law because of the delays enacted by the President.”

Note: These delays were of course made by President Obama to protect democrats up for reelection. Many argue that he had no constitutional authority to do so.

Sorry for stating the obvious; now back to what the democrats would argue. Of those 100 million people who get their insurance through their employers, impacts will range from changes to their plans and providers to outright insurance cancellation. We must account for them and using democratic math, the real impact is a net loss of over 101 million people signed up for insurance or able to keep their policies. This is not quite the success story that the White House is touting, nor does it solve the problem of the 30 million uninsured that we were told was the reason to pass Obamacare in the first place.

Yes, they would say, the number that matters is 100 million Americans hurt by the ACA. Repeal the law and do the fair thing for the American people. If the situation was reversed, the Democrats would be right, just as Republicans are right to make, and keep making these points. Obamacare needs to be repealed, before it’s too late.

Conflicting Arguments, Obamacare vs Comprehensive Immigration Reform

I’ve written about the Progressive/Democrat tactic of making claims about the intent of their policies and avoiding any analysis of the second or third order affects of them.  I’ve also discussed the hypocritical nature of so many of their policies.  The President and his Democrat Obamacare supporters have now blended these two deceptive tactics in defending two different policies.  First, not even Mr. Fantastic could bend himself into the pretzels needed by Democrats defending Obamacare.

The latest effort involves the recent CBO report, that stated Obamacare would reduce 2.3 million full time job equivalents from the US economy.  That means that Obamacare will shrink our economy.  Our GDP, which Democrats and big spending Republicans need to support their massive spending will be smaller, weaker and provide fewer taxes.  Bad news for America!  Democrats responded with the ludicrous explanation that cutting American workers’ hours is a good thing.  Less work is a blessing, since work is too difficult, and Americans need less work and more free time.  Americans, they say, are too productive.  Tell that to somebody that’s trying to pay their mortgage, rent, heating or water bill.  Tell them that less money is a blessing!  Here’s where the Democrats take a completely opposite position on immigration reform.

Democrats claim that comprehensive immigration reform is needed so that the illegal community can come out of the shadows and work.  They will do the work that Americans won’t do, so Democrats say.  Reform is needed to let these people, who only want to get to work and provide for their families the opportunity to put in long hours in the fields to do so.  Work for them, is a blessing.  Hard work is what we are keeping them from doing with our “unfair” immigration laws.  Make them legal so that they can work.  Why is it fair to make illegal immigrants work long and hard hours, but it’s oppressive to allow American citizens to do the same?

In order to connect these dots I guess Democrats would need to tell these immigrants to stop working full time hours once they come out of the shadows, for then work would be as bad as they say it is for Americans?  Perhaps Democrats are just intent on oppressing immigrants?

All fantasy aside, both Democrat arguments are nothing but smoke screens to hide their real goals.  Obamacare is only an interim step to government controlled healthcare, with emphasis on CONTROL.  Immigration reform is nothing but an effort to get more Democrat voters.

Obama Care and the Sochi Winter Olympics

What do Obama care and the Sochi Olympics have in common?  On the surface you would think nothing at all, however you’d be mistaken.  In fact there are many commonalities between Obama care and the Sochi Olympics, and their foundation is government control.

It was at roll out when Americans learned that Obama care’s website was a complete disaster.  Despite the taxpayer cost of over $500 million to develop the website, it’s fraught with problems, not the least of which is a complete lack of security.  Experts warn that anyone who puts their private information into the site is risking the loss of all of their personal information.  In addition the site has no back end able to transmit data to confirm payments were made, nor can it give anyone who signs up assurance that they will in fact be insured when they show up at a doctor’s office.  New failures pop up each day, but President Obama and Democrats call them glitches, and “all is well”.  Reality check – big government doesn’t work.

Canadian Olympian, Sebastien Toutant, tweeted this picture of Sochi toilet rules.

Canadian Olympian, Sebastien Toutant, tweeted this picture of Sochi toilet rules.

At the start of the Olympics we are all just now learning of the problems in Sochi. Despite assurances from Putin that “all is well”, people are getting surprised when checking into rooms.  Some when told that they are still under construction. Some rooms have no water.  Some visitors are told not to allow the water to touch their faces because of its dangerous contents. Many rooms were missing combinations of furniture, curtains, light bulbs, TVs and shower curtains.  Locals were told to surrender their pillows to athletes whose rooms didn’t have one.  Hotel lobbies are missing as are floors.

It’s been interesting so far to see the fawning coverage given to Putin, and Sochi by Bob Costas and NBC.  I guess the mainstream media has so much practice spinning for big government progressives in America that it’s a natural transition to praise a full-blown totalitarian.

Another link is traffic.  Very few tourists are showing up to actually see the Olympics so far.  Many are likely scared away by the threat of terrorism, just like very few previously uninsured Americans are signing up for Obama care.  Many of them are likely afraid of the threat of personal data theft.

Sadly, both the ACA (not just the website) and Sochi are well over budget.  The Sochi Games cost Russia an estimated $51B, the most expensive games in history.  Obama care will cost U.S. taxpayers over double its original estimate of $900B over ten years, and that doesn’t account for the increased cost to Americans of insurance plans, co-pays and deductibles.

The lack of preparation of the Obama care website, it’s roll-out and the entire so called “Affordable Care Act”, for that matter, and the Sochi Olympics have another common feature:  they were the by products of massive, intrusive government.  In the case of Sochi, it’s Putin, an ex-KGB officer who wants to return Russia to its former glory.  He’s is an authoritarian, a communist “once KGB-always KGB”, and it’s clear to see that despite the fall of the Iron Curtain, the failures of the old communist system are still in effect.  In the case of Obama care it’s an unprecedented level of massive, intrusive government led by Barack Obama and the Democrats intent on expanding the role and power of our government.  Don’t forget that Obama care gave the federal government control of over 20% of the US economy.  Government’s gain is liberty’s loss.

Hopefully, the athletes at the winter Olympics won’t be distracted from achieving their dreams, despite the situation in Sochi.  Sadly for America, the reality of Obama care is quite different for it’s doomed to fail.  The Law was fundamentally flawed, rushed through in the dead of night without a single Republican vote.  It’s real objective is to fail SLOWLY and move the USA into a government controlled and dictatorial health care system.  One major difference between the Olympics and the “Unaffordable Care Act” does bear highlighting though:  the Olympics will end in a few weeks, but to stop Obama care, we must repeal it!

Obama Care Implosion

The implosion of Obama care is an “Othello” opportunity. This is an incredibly unique and teachable point in history, where Conservatives and Republicans can shore up their supporters and get converts by pulling them from rank and file Democrats, and opening the eyes of low information voters. Here’s how this must get played:

  • Aggressively demonstrate (to family, friends and neighbors locally, and across the airwaves and print media nationally) Obama care’s disaster is the result of government overreach. Use Obama care’s implosion to broaden the lesson from just healthcare to one of constitutionally limited government vs. progressive democrat socialism and nanny state authoritarianism.
  • The Federal Government can do a few things well, and they are enumerated in the Constitution. It should stick to those things and leave the rest to the states and the American people. Progressives want more and more power and they root against free markets and overtly distrust trust them. It’s a zero sum game; the more centralized power they get, the less Americans have left to live their own lives. Americans are the free market; to hate one is to hate the other.

Obama care is just a symptom of progressives’ fervent yearning for an all-powerful government. Spread the word, this disaster is just a microcosm of our country’s future!

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Trustworthy is a word that means very simply “worthy of trust”.  When applied to the Democrats and the president you need to question if they are still worthy of trust?  If someone shows a pattern of deceit, they should no longer be trustworthy.

One example brings this question into focus.  For three years the president of the United States promised the American people that if they liked their plan they could keep it.  We now know the Democrats in Congress knew back in 2010 that this was inaccurate at best and a lie at worst.  We also know that the administration knew that this was not true in 2010 as well. Despite that knowledge, the president sold the affordable care act as a law that would only affect Americans who wanted to participate in it.  This was absolutely incorrect, and the Democrats and the president knew it all along!  Not only did they know it, but when Republicans repeatedly made this point they were ridiculed and attacked, as is the common bullying tactic of the left.  Harry Reid actually had the gall to claim that every American horror story about Obama care is a lie!

I have to ask the question, which I’ve yet to hear anyone else ask, what else do Democrats know that we haven’t found out about yet?

  • Did they also know in 2010 that the cost of Obama care was going to far exceed what they were telling the American people?  Democrats originally sold it as costing under $900 billion over 10 years.  Projections are that it will cost the American taxpayers at least double that, and maybe much more than double.
  • Did they know that many Americans were going to lose the doctors that they love and respect and have been going to for years?
  • Did they know that the average costs of these plans were going to be far more than what Americans were paying before the law was passed?
  • Did they know that the deductibles were going to go up?
  • Did they know that Obama care was going to force many doctors to retire rather than put up with it?

Republicans and conservatives made all of these points before the law was passed! Democrats and the president ridiculed them and called them “extremists”.  We now know all of these tragedies are true!  The real question that should be asked in the media and by Americans is when did the Democrats know, and what else do they know that they’re not admitting to? This question should apply much more broadly than just to Obama care.  It should be applied to immigration reform for instance.  Conservatives are pointing out the many flaws and potential disasters, the second and third order effects, of comprehensive immigration reform only to again be demonized by Democrats.  The conservatives were right on Obama care and they are right on issues such as immigration.  We just found out that the Obama administration was cooking the books on reporting deportations.

Every American needs to ask themselves how “worthy of trust” are the Democrats on any issue now that we know that they lied on Obama care?  Sadly, President Obama has our allies asking the same question!

Latest Updates:

– Obama Care Fraud: Jonathan Gruber, an Obama care architect, admits writing the law to fool the “stupid” American voters!

– Kentucky Senate Candidate Alison Grimes (D) is lying about her support for the coal industry

– Administration was warned over the last two years that the explosion in illegal immigration was coming.

– President still says that U.S. Southern Border more secure than ever!

– Majority of Americans now agree

– MIchelle Obama has now joined the party – “Experts: Michelle Obama Cited Bogus Study Showing Drastic Drop in Childhood Obesity”.